Union Tornesch vs Rugenbergen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
27.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
15º
18º
17º
30
12º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Tornesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WAN
5 - 3
UTO
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UTO
1 - 0
BUC
26%
21%
53%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PAL
4 - 1
UTO
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UTO
3 - 4
DNB
52%
19%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SUD
8 - 0
UTO
83%
10%
7%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Rugenbergen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
ALT
2 - 0
RUG
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
WAN
2 - 1
RUG
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RUG
0 - 3
ETH
64%
18%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BUC
4 - 2
RUG
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
RUG
1 - 2
NIE
14%
18%
68%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |