Union Tornesch vs Halstenbek-Rellingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
63.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
15º
18º
17º
42
7º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Tornesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
HEB
3 - 3
UTO
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
UTO
0 - 4
VHG
23%
20%
58%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 1
UTO
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
UTO
0 - 6
ETH
77%
13%
10%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NIE
3 - 1
UTO
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Halstenbek-Rellingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
0 - 0
WAN
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 3
HAL
26%
21%
54%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
HAL
0 - 1
PAL
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DNB
1 - 1
HAL
13%
16%
71%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 0
SUD
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |