Union Tornesch vs Düneberger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
15º
18º
17º
17
15º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Tornesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SUD
8 - 0
UTO
83%
10%
7%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
UTO
1 - 1
HAL
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
HEB
3 - 3
UTO
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
UTO
0 - 4
VHG
23%
20%
58%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 1
UTO
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Düneberger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
BUC
8 - 1
DNB
64%
17%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DNB
1 - 2
WAN
22%
19%
59%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DNB
0 - 1
PAL
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DNB
4 - 3
RUG
25%
21%
54%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
SUD
8 - 0
DNB
84%
10%
7%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |