Union Tornesch vs Curslack-Neuengamme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
26.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
9º
16º
13º
23
1º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Tornesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UTO
1 - 2
BUC
59%
19%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
THA
1 - 1
UTO
62%
20%
18%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UTO
2 - 1
HAM
40%
21%
40%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
HEB
1 - 1
UTO
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
UTO
2 - 1
NIE
11%
17%
72%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | +3 |
Matches
Curslack-Neuengamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
THA
3 - 3
CUR
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CUR
2 - 2
HEB
33%
22%
46%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
SUD
4 - 3
CUR
67%
16%
16%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
CUR
1 - 3
RUG
55%
20%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
VHG
5 - 0
CUR
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |