Copa Peru Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 2-2
Unión Tarapoto vs Independiente Huachog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Tarapoto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
TAR
6%
12%
82%
|
57 | 5 | 52 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TAR
10 - 1
AHC
91%
7%
1%
|
57 | 6 | 51 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
USD
1 - 3
TAR
7%
13%
80%
|
57 | 12 | 45 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TAR
2 - 1
DTA
91%
8%
2%
|
57 | 9 | 48 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
DTA
0 - 0
TAR
7%
13%
80%
|
57 | 9 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Huachog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
TAR
6%
12%
82%
|
5 | 57 | 52 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ESC
4 - 1
IND
44%
24%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
IND
1 - 1
SAF
37%
22%
41%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
CFC
0 - 1
IND
45%
22%
33%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
CFC
31%
21%
48%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |