Unión Tarapoto vs Atlético Hospital analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.1%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
13.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
17.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21%
2-0
18%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
16.8%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
<0%
0
7.4%
1.4%
Win probability
0.23
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Tarapoto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
USD
1 - 3
TAR
7%
13%
80%
|
57 | 12 | 45 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TAR
2 - 1
DTA
91%
8%
2%
|
57 | 9 | 48 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
DTA
0 - 0
TAR
7%
13%
80%
|
57 | 9 | 48 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TAR
4 - 2
USD
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 12 | 45 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AHC
1 - 1
TAR
6%
12%
82%
|
57 | 7 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Hospital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
AHC
0 - 0
ESC
33%
21%
45%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PDR
3 - 0
AHC
32%
25%
44%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
AHC
5 - 2
PDR
41%
22%
38%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
ESC
4 - 2
AHC
32%
21%
47%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AHC
1 - 1
TAR
6%
12%
82%
|
7 | 57 | 50 | 0 |