Union Sur Yaiza vs Tamaraceite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
58.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+77%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
16º
12º
38
5º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Sur Yaiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PAN
2 - 0
YAI
80%
14%
7%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
YAI
2 - 2
UDI
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CSU
0 - 0
YAI
54%
24%
23%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
YAI
1 - 1
UDG
33%
25%
42%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ARU
2 - 1
YAI
63%
21%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tamaraceite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
TAM
1 - 0
EST
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
UPR
1 - 1
TAM
27%
23%
50%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PAN
5 - 0
TAM
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
TAM
2 - 0
UDG
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TAM
3 - 0
UDI
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |