Union Sur Yaiza vs UD Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Sur Yaiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
YAI
1 - 0
NAV
31%
28%
42%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
COR
1 - 0
YAI
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
YAI
2 - 1
ILL
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
YAI
1 - 1
SBA
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
UDL
4 - 0
YAI
85%
12%
3%
|
42 | 80 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
UD Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CIU
3 - 0
STM
39%
25%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
STM
0 - 0
SDA
39%
25%
36%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 3
STM
63%
22%
16%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
STM
3 - 2
VIL
46%
25%
30%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 0
STM
85%
10%
4%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |