Tercera RFEF Promotion PlayOff Final
Global 2-2
Union Sur Yaiza vs Portugalete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Sur Yaiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
YAI
3 - 0
PAN
60%
21%
18%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 1
YAI
30%
27%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
YAI
1 - 1
LPA
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
LPA
0 - 1
YAI
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 0
YAI
43%
28%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BEA
1 - 2
POR
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
BEA
39%
28%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 3
POR
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
BAS
32%
27%
41%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DAC
1 - 1
POR
30%
23%
48%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |