Tercera RFEF Promotion PlayOff Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Union Sur Yaiza vs Panadería Pulido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Sur Yaiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 1
YAI
30%
27%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
YAI
1 - 1
LPA
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
LPA
0 - 1
YAI
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 0
YAI
43%
28%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
YAI
1 - 1
CDT
39%
26%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Panadería Pulido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 1
YAI
30%
27%
43%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 1
PAN
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 1
LAN
25%
25%
50%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
CDB
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
PAN
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |