Union Sur Yaiza vs Arucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
16º
12º
36
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Sur Yaiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LPA
2 - 0
YAI
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
YAI
1 - 1
VSB
24%
22%
54%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LAN
0 - 1
YAI
64%
22%
15%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CDM
3 - 0
YAI
80%
14%
7%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
YAI
3 - 2
MAR
23%
23%
54%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
ARU
2 - 0
EST
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
TAM
2 - 0
ARU
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
ARU
3 - 1
PAN
23%
23%
54%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ARU
1 - 1
UDI
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CSU
4 - 2
ARU
45%
25%
31%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |