Union Schafhausen vs Hennef 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
39.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
4º
16º
15º
12
7º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 73 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 55 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 49 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 47 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 37 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 35 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 33 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 33 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 32 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 24 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
28.5% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation
|
71.5% | 31.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Schafhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MER
2 - 1
USC
65%
17%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SPV
0 - 2
USC
44%
22%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
USC
1 - 1
SPF
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VFL
1 - 4
USC
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +3 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
USC
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
H05
1 - 4
SPV
58%
19%
23%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SPF
1 - 0
H05
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
H05
3 - 0
VFL
20%
22%
58%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +4 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
H05
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
H05
0 - 5
BSC
13%
20%
67%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | -2 |