Union Schafhausen vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
50.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
9º
16º
14º
52
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Schafhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
USC
2 - 1
SIE
57%
20%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
USC
0 - 2
VFL
29%
21%
50%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SCF
5 - 1
USC
34%
21%
45%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
USC
1 - 0
SPV
89%
8%
4%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 1
USC
27%
22%
51%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BER
0 - 2
SPF
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FVE
0 - 1
BER
7%
14%
80%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
BER
0 - 6
KOL
5%
12%
83%
|
40 | 83 | 43 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
SIE
1 - 3
BER
23%
22%
56%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BER
0 - 2
VFL
48%
24%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |