Unión Santa Fe vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
39.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
COL
2 - 0
CAU
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
CAU
2 - 2
SLO
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 0
CAU
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CAU
2 - 2
EST
32%
29%
39%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
CAU
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
NOB
1 - 2
ALB
44%
30%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
BOC
0 - 0
NOB
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
NOB
0 - 0
QUI
43%
30%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GOD
1 - 1
NOB
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
NOB
2 - 1
ARS
39%
30%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |