Unión Santa Fe vs Gimnasia Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
TIG
1 - 2
CAU
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CAU
1 - 1
ALB
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
BOC
1 - 3
CAU
68%
20%
13%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CAU
0 - 3
QUI
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GOD
2 - 1
CAU
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
GIM
0 - 0
BHU
66%
20%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
GIM
1 - 1
CCS
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
9DJ
2 - 2
GIM
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
GIM
3 - 1
JAN
38%
27%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CDN
4 - 0
GIM
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |