Union Sandersdorf vs Wismut Gera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
9º
13º
12º
7
2º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
11 | 66 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 60 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 60 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 58 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 50 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 48 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 48 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 45 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 35 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
4 | 30 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 30 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 27 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 26 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 65% |
|
Relegation
|
25% | 35% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Sandersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SVB
2 - 2
UNI
24%
22%
54%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
SVD
2 - 2
UNI
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 78 | 45 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 2
BAK
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 2
EIL
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
SCF
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Wismut Gera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WIS
2 - 0
RSV
38%
22%
40%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
WIS
0 - 1
LOK
7%
13%
80%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FSV
2 - 3
WIS
29%
21%
50%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
WIS
3 - 1
SGE
67%
17%
15%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
FCT
2 - 0
WIS
43%
21%
37%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -2 |