Unión San Martín vs Estrella Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
15.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.9%
2-0
19.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
21.9%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.8%
3%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
USM
4 - 1
UDP
63%
19%
17%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
USM
0 - 2
ADT
5%
11%
84%
|
28 | 66 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
USM
0 - 3
CSC
44%
23%
34%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
USM
1 - 1
ALF
5%
10%
85%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
USM
1 - 3
CSM
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
EAF
0 - 4
ADT
4%
10%
86%
|
9 | 66 | 57 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
EAF
0 - 2
CSC
11%
16%
74%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
EAF
0 - 1
UDP
15%
18%
67%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
EAF
0 - 2
LOS
6%
10%
85%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
EAF
1 - 2
ALF
5%
10%
85%
|
11 | 58 | 47 | 0 |