Unión San Martín vs ADT de Tarma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.9%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
83.9%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.7%
0-4
9%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.4%
0-5
5.2%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.8%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.1%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
USM
0 - 3
CSC
44%
23%
34%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
USM
1 - 1
ALF
5%
10%
85%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
USM
1 - 3
CSM
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
USM
0 - 0
LOS
8%
12%
80%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
NIR
0 - 0
USM
7%
16%
77%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
ADT de Tarma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ADT
1 - 2
ALF
51%
22%
27%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
UDP
3 - 4
ADT
5%
11%
85%
|
67 | 18 | 49 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
ADT
2 - 2
LOS
71%
17%
12%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
ADT
1 - 1
CSC
85%
11%
4%
|
67 | 28 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ADT
0 - 0
UNJ
87%
10%
4%
|
67 | 10 | 57 | 0 |