Unión San Felipe vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
52.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
13º
16º
16º
35
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
80% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAG
2 - 1
USF
74%
18%
9%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DLS
3 - 0
USF
65%
22%
13%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
USF
2 - 2
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UCO
2 - 1
USF
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
USF
1 - 2
CSD
34%
28%
39%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
LIM
1 - 3
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
SWA
34%
27%
40%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
DLS
2 - 1
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 4
BAR
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |