Unión San Felipe vs Recoleta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
13º
16º
16º
31
1º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 69 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 51 |
4º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 42 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 36 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 34 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 34 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 30 |
15º
|
75% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 16.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 83.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CUR
2 - 0
USF
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
SWA
2 - 0
USF
55%
24%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
USF
2 - 1
SWA
27%
28%
45%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
USF
0 - 1
PUE
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UCO
0 - 0
USF
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DER
3 - 1
SWA
22%
26%
53%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
DER
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
DER
1 - 2
CSD
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
USF
1 - 2
DER
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DER
1 - 2
BAR
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |