Unión San Felipe vs Deportes Limache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
45.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
13º
16º
16º
37
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 54 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 49 |
4º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 44 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 41 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 40 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 38 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 35 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 34 |
14º
|
46% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
94% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 22 |
16º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 67% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 33% |
|
Relegation
|
95.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
DSC
0 - 2
USF
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
USF
1 - 2
SWA
20%
26%
54%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 1
USF
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
USF
0 - 1
DER
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CUR
2 - 0
USF
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Limache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
LIM
0 - 1
UCO
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 5
LIM
37%
28%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
LIM
0 - 1
CSD
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 3
LIM
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 1
LIM
20%
26%
53%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |