Union Saint-Jean vs Bagnols-Pont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
14º
13º
16
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Saint-Jean
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BEA
0 - 1
USJ
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
USJ
3 - 1
ONE
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BEZ
1 - 0
USJ
85%
11%
4%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
USJ
0 - 0
MON
23%
21%
56%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
USJ
1 - 2
COL
28%
23%
48%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Bagnols-Pont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
COL
3 - 1
FBP
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FBP
0 - 1
BEA
21%
20%
58%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AGD
3 - 1
FBP
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FBP
1 - 3
BEZ
8%
17%
75%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
FBP
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |