Union Saint-Gilloise vs KVC Westerlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
12º
3º
23
1º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 58 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 50 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 47 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 46 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 40 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 37 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 37 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 37 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 35 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 33 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 31 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 27 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 18 |
16º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 34% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 66% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
NIC
44%
25%
30%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CER
0 - 0
UNI
40%
25%
35%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 2
GEN
42%
24%
34%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
ANT
47%
26%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
TWE
0 - 1
UNI
48%
24%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
KVC Westerlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
DEN
1 - 0
KVC
28%
24%
48%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
AND
4 - 1
KVC
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
KVC
2 - 2
GEN
35%
24%
41%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
KVC
4 - 0
KVK
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
KVC
30%
25%
45%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |