Union Saint-Gilloise vs KVC Westerlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
4º
1º
30
6º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
BRU
2 - 1
UNI
41%
24%
35%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
GNK
0 - 1
UNI
46%
24%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 2
RWD
66%
19%
15%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AND
2 - 2
UNI
42%
25%
34%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
AND
47%
25%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
KVC Westerlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
KVC
0 - 3
LEU
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
KVC
4 - 2
CER
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
GEN
2 - 2
KVC
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BRU
3 - 0
KVC
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
KVC
2 - 2
FCB
87%
9%
4%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |