Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 1-5
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
EEA
2 - 0
UNI
55%
21%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
UNI
0 - 0
LIE
41%
24%
36%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
OLY
1 - 0
UNI
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
UNI
1 - 2
BRU
63%
19%
18%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
UNI
4 - 4
LIE
55%
21%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1961 |
DUN
2 - 0
HOM
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1961 |
HOM
2 - 0
HAM
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1961 |
HOM
4 - 2
HIB
63%
18%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
HAM
1 - 2
HOM
36%
22%
42%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1961 |
DUN
2 - 1
HOM
41%
22%
37%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |