Unión Puerto vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Puerto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
UPR
1 - 4
LPA
10%
18%
72%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
PAN
1 - 1
UPR
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
UPR
0 - 1
YAI
46%
25%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
CDT
2 - 0
UPR
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
UPR
2 - 0
UDI
29%
25%
46%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
EST
1 - 1
PAN
56%
21%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
YAI
3 - 2
EST
40%
27%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
CDT
35%
25%
40%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
UDI
2 - 0
EST
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
EST
3 - 1
CSU
56%
23%
21%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |