UP Palencia vs CD Villamuriel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
49.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+106%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CEB
3 - 2
UPP
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UPP
0 - 0
INT
31%
23%
46%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CFB
3 - 0
UPP
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
UNA
1 - 1
UPP
55%
21%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
UPP
0 - 2
CAL
35%
22%
43%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CD Villamuriel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
LER
57%
21%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
CEB
53%
23%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
INT
2 - 1
VIL
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CFB
1 - 2
VIL
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 0
UNA
37%
23%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |