UP Palencia vs Turégano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
69%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
UPP
0 - 0
CEB
21%
22%
57%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 1
UPP
82%
11%
7%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UPP
1 - 3
ABE
56%
21%
23%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 0
UPP
28%
23%
49%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UPP
0 - 5
SJO
43%
23%
35%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Turégano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TUR
5 - 1
VIL
59%
21%
20%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
UXA
1 - 1
TUR
27%
23%
50%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 0
CFB
33%
24%
44%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
4 - 1
TUR
46%
22%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
0 - 2
LER
67%
19%
15%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |