UP Palencia vs Numancia B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
UPP
42%
25%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
UPP
0 - 1
UXA
50%
24%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BUR
1 - 0
UPP
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
UPP
2 - 2
COL
30%
26%
44%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 4
UPP
61%
21%
18%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Numancia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
NUM
0 - 0
SJO
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
NUM
0 - 1
COC
46%
22%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
NUM
29%
26%
45%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NUM
4 - 0
UXA
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 2
NUM
50%
22%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |