UP Palencia vs Cebrereña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 4
UPP
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
UPP
1 - 1
UNA
41%
25%
34%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 2
UPP
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
UPP
2 - 0
SJO
27%
23%
50%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 3
UPP
24%
24%
53%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cebrereña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CEB
0 - 0
SJO
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CEB
2 - 1
INT
35%
24%
41%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CFB
0 - 1
CEB
73%
17%
10%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CEB
2 - 0
UNA
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
3 - 1
CEB
63%
20%
18%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |