Union Perg vs USC Wallern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Perg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BAD
1 - 2
UNP
38%
23%
39%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
UNP
1 - 1
WEL
59%
21%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SSM
2 - 3
UNP
51%
22%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
UNP
1 - 0
GMU
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
DON
2 - 0
UNP
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
USC Wallern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
WAL
0 - 2
UNI
29%
22%
49%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
WAL
66%
18%
17%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
WAL
1 - 0
NEU
34%
23%
43%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
VOC
2 - 2
WAL
84%
11%
5%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BAD
2 - 1
WAL
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |