Union Perg vs SV Wallern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
61%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
14º
13º
58
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
56% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
44% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Perg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
PWD
1 - 2
UNP
73%
16%
12%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
UNP
1 - 3
OED
16%
20%
65%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
UMA
1 - 1
UNP
47%
22%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
UNP
1 - 1
ASV
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
1 - 1
UNP
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SV Wallern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
SVW
6 - 2
STM
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 3
SVW
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SVW
4 - 1
SVZ
66%
16%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
FRI
2 - 3
SVW
21%
20%
59%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
PWD
6 - 0
SVW
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |