Union Perg vs SV Friedburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
31.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+118%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
8º
13º
12º
44
7º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Perg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BAD
3 - 1
UNP
61%
20%
20%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
UNP
2 - 0
SPG
52%
23%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
OED
6 - 0
UNP
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
UNP
2 - 1
WEL
63%
20%
18%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
WEA
4 - 0
UNP
71%
16%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SV Friedburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SVF
3 - 1
ASV
39%
22%
39%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
UMA
4 - 2
SVF
56%
20%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SVF
1 - 0
UNI
32%
21%
48%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SVZ
3 - 0
SVF
44%
21%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SVF
1 - 4
OST
34%
21%
45%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |