Union Perg vs Union St. Florian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
57.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Perg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
OED
4 - 0
UNP
88%
8%
3%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
UNP
1 - 1
NEU
40%
23%
37%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
3 - 0
UNP
60%
20%
21%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
UNP
1 - 2
SVW
17%
19%
65%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
ASV
2 - 2
UNP
44%
23%
34%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Union St. Florian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
STF
1 - 2
UNI
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
DON
4 - 2
STF
19%
22%
60%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
OED
1 - 0
STF
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
STF
0 - 0
NEU
72%
18%
11%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 0
STF
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +2 |