Union Perg vs St. Martin analysis


18	ELO	17
-0.3%	Tilt	0.5%
11166º	General ELO ranking	32631º
205º	Country ELO ranking	460º
ELO win probability

54.2%

Union Perg

20.9%

Draw

24.8%

St. Martin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

54.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%

20.9%

Draw

0-0

3.1%

1-1

8.9%

2-2

6.5%

3-3

2.1%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

<0%

0

20.9%

24.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Union Perg

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
22 Aug. 2015	MAR 0 - 4 UNP 14% 19% 67%	17	9	8	0
14 Aug. 2015	UNP 1 - 4 UNI 46% 23% 32%	18	19	1	-1
07 Aug. 2015	UNP 3 - 0 BAD 66% 18% 16%	18	14	4	0
15 Jun. 2007	KOF 2 - 2 UNP 61% 22% 17%	25	31	6	-7
09 Jun. 2007	UNP 1 - 2 VOC 26% 25% 49%	26	38	12	-1