Union Perg vs Sierning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Perg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
GMU
3 - 2
UNP
57%
20%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
UNP
2 - 2
WEL
56%
22%
23%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GRU
2 - 2
UNP
55%
21%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
UNP
1 - 2
DON
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 0
UNP
47%
22%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 0
VOC
12%
20%
68%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BAD
2 - 2
SIE
56%
22%
22%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
GMU
6 - 0
SIE
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SIE
0 - 0
WEL
40%
25%
34%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GRU
1 - 0
SIE
65%
20%
15%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |