Union Perg vs Oedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
66.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Perg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
GRU
3 - 3
UNP
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
UNP
3 - 2
BAD
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
UNP
76%
15%
10%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
UNP
2 - 2
UNI
46%
22%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
VOC
2 - 0
UNP
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Oedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
OED
1 - 2
UNI
81%
12%
7%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
OED
9%
15%
76%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
OED
3 - 2
NEU
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
WAL
2 - 3
OED
10%
16%
74%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
OED
4 - 1
BAD
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |