Union Perg vs Gmundner Milch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
37.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Perg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
DON
1 - 1
UNP
61%
20%
20%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
1 - 1
UNP
59%
20%
22%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
UNP
2 - 2
STF
21%
21%
58%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
OED
4 - 0
UNP
88%
8%
3%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
UNP
1 - 1
NEU
40%
23%
37%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gmundner Milch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
GMU
2 - 2
51%
23%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
STF
1 - 2
GMU
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
GMU
1 - 3
OED
11%
16%
73%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
NEU
4 - 0
GMU
40%
25%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
GMU
1 - 0
UNI
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |