Union Perg vs Gmundner Milch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
20.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Perg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2016 |
WEL
2 - 3
UNP
40%
23%
37%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
UNP
3 - 1
GRU
41%
22%
37%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
DON
0 - 3
UNP
64%
19%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
UNP
0 - 3
UNI
33%
22%
45%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
GRI
3 - 0
UNP
77%
13%
9%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gmundner Milch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2016 |
GMU
2 - 1
VOC
17%
22%
62%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
SIE
0 - 2
GMU
35%
26%
39%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
GMU
2 - 2
BAD
43%
23%
34%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
GMU
0 - 1
WEL
56%
22%
22%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
GRU
1 - 0
GMU
68%
19%
14%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |