Union Perg vs Feldkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Perg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
WAC
3 - 4
UNP
72%
17%
10%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
WEL
2 - 0
UNP
57%
24%
20%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
UNP
0 - 1
GRI
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
FCK
2 - 0
UNP
49%
26%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2006 |
BLE
1 - 2
UNP
35%
28%
37%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Feldkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
FEL
2 - 1
WEL
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
GRI
0 - 3
FEL
18%
21%
61%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
FEL
0 - 0
FCK
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
KOF
2 - 2
FEL
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2006 |
FEL
2 - 0
VOC
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |