Union Omaha vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
RIC
1 - 1
OMA
27%
27%
47%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
OMA
4 - 2
NER
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
FMA
1 - 2
OMA
35%
30%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 1
OMA
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
FMA
1 - 0
OMA
32%
29%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
NOT
0 - 0
TUC
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
TUC
2 - 3
CRW
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
TUC
1 - 1
TOR
43%
24%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
TUC
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 2
TUC
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |