Union Omaha vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2020 |
NOT
2 - 2
OMA
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
OMA
1 - 1
FMA
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
TUC
1 - 2
OMA
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
OMA
1 - 0
NOT
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
NER
0 - 0
OMA
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
ORL
1 - 4
TUC
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
RIC
2 - 1
TUC
44%
25%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
TUC
1 - 2
OMA
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
CRW
1 - 0
TUC
62%
21%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
IMI
1 - 2
TUC
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |