Union Omaha vs Orlando City II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
OMA
2 - 1
TUC
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2020 |
NOT
2 - 2
OMA
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
OMA
1 - 1
FMA
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
TUC
1 - 2
OMA
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
OMA
1 - 0
NOT
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Orlando City II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
ORL
1 - 1
NOT
16%
22%
61%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
ORL
1 - 1
TOR
35%
25%
41%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
FMA
3 - 1
ORL
75%
17%
9%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
ORL
1 - 4
TUC
40%
24%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
ORL
1 - 1
IMI
27%
24%
50%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |