Union Omaha vs Sporting Kansas City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
59.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
OMA
4 - 2
TOR
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OMA
0 - 0
CHA
60%
23%
18%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
OMA
0 - 0
EPL
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
OKS
0 - 1
OMA
26%
27%
47%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
OMA
3 - 1
DES
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
RSL
1 - 0
KCW
46%
25%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 1
KCW
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KCW
3 - 3
STC
86%
10%
5%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
KCW
2 - 3
IMI
51%
23%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KCW
3 - 3
POR
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |