Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
4º
1º
27
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
32 | 45 |
1º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 37 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 37 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 36 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 36 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
7º
|
65.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 25 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 23 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 21 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 18 |
12º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SPV
2 - 1
OMA
18%
22%
61%
|
67 | 24 | 43 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
OMA
3 - 0
RIC
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
OMA
2 - 2
FMA
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
OMA
0 - 1
CRW
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
GTR
0 - 1
OMA
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Greenville Triumph
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
NCO
3 - 0
GTR
55%
24%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GTR
1 - 1
RIC
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
GTR
0 - 0
OKS
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
GTR
0 - 1
OMA
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
OKS
0 - 2
GTR
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |