Union Omaha vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
7º
1º
43
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
TUL
0 - 2
OMA
29%
22%
49%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CRW
1 - 0
OMA
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
OMA
0 - 2
CVF
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
OMA
1 - 1
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
OMA
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TUC
1 - 1
FMA
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FMA
0 - 1
RIC
28%
27%
46%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FMA
0 - 1
TOR
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
CVF
3 - 0
FMA
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FMA
1 - 2
CAR
60%
23%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |