Union Omaha vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
TUC
1 - 2
OMA
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
OMA
1 - 0
NOT
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
NER
0 - 0
OMA
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
COL
0 - 1
OMA
8%
14%
78%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 1
OMA
43%
22%
35%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
FMA
4 - 0
TOR
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
RIC
1 - 0
FMA
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
FMA
0 - 0
GTR
39%
27%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
NOT
2 - 1
FMA
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
LOU
2 - 1
FMA
31%
23%
46%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |