Union Omaha vs Des Moines Menace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
OMA
3 - 0
GTR
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
OMA
6 - 1
TUC
51%
26%
24%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
NOT
1 - 1
OMA
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
OMA
2 - 0
RIC
54%
26%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
OMA
4 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Des Moines Menace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
DES
4 - 2
MIN
64%
19%
17%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
DES
1 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
DES
2 - 0
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
DES
1 - 0
MIC
34%
24%
43%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
DES
5 - 0
TEU
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | -1 |