Union Neumünster vs Nordmark Satrup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
7.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
4º
3º
37
5º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Neumünster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 2
HEI
74%
15%
12%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
OLD
2 - 3
UNI
12%
15%
73%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
5 - 1
LUB
76%
14%
10%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 2
WEF
88%
8%
4%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 4
UNI
12%
15%
73%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Nordmark Satrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 2
VFR
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 0
BOR
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ITK
2 - 2
NOR
64%
17%
20%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 3
WEI
11%
16%
74%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LUB
3 - 1
NOR
55%
19%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |