Union Neumünster vs Oldenburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
10%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
4º
3º
33
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Neumünster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BOR
1 - 2
UNI
11%
15%
74%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 6
TOD
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
ECK
3 - 1
UNI
15%
18%
67%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ITK
2 - 3
UNI
18%
18%
64%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 2
PRR
82%
11%
7%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Oldenburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
OLD
2 - 1
HEI
27%
20%
53%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FLE
3 - 3
OLD
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
OLD
4 - 4
LUB
35%
21%
44%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DOR
2 - 2
OLD
27%
20%
53%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 4
OLD
44%
21%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |